Ansedda The Cook Report har avgett sin sista rapport inför kongressvalen. Det är mörk läsning för demokraterna:
The Cook Political Report’s pre-election House outlook is a Democratic net loss of 50 to 60 seats, with higher losses possible. A turnover of just 39 seats would tip majority status into Republican hands. The midterm maelstrom pulling House Democrats under shows no signs of abating, if anything it has intensified.
Även FiveThirtyEight spår ungefär samma resultat. Deras modell bygger till viss del på The Cook Report och andra liknande undersökningar.
FiveThirtyEight’s House projection is unchanged over the past 48 hours. Over the course of its simulation runs, our model found Republicans gaining an average of 53 seats, which would bring them to 232 total. Democrats are given a 16 percent chance of holding the House, down slightly from 17 percent on Wednesday.
Pollster.com anger republikanernas chans att ta över representanthuset till 70,8 %.
Den 2 november är det valdag, men det röstas så klart redan för fullt.